Causal Analysis in Biomedicine and Epidemiology (2002)

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The idea of cause-and-effect plays such a constant role in our everyday lives, it is remarkable that after centuries of thought, we still cannot tell whether it is part of the natural order of the universe, or simply a mental construct we use to make sense of what happens to us. Fascinating though this dilemma is, we will not solve it here. What we will do is start with one, particularly simple notion of causation, and then using characteristics that ought to be true of cause-and-effect, extend our notion of cause over a very wide variety of situations. In general, people who write about causation take one of two approaches. They either roll out their own definition or else they mount a campaign to dismember somebody else's. Those who trash the work of others are, I think, the most difficult to read with any degree of sympathy.

They pull out the various parts of the victim's definition along with the supporting arguments, and then proceed to develop multiple counterarguments, from a variety of different and undefined points of view. Since they never allow themselves to be pinned down to what they think causation is, we can never tell where their legions of arguments actually come from.

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