Elementary Bayesian Biostatistics (2007) Pdf Free Download

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The Bayes perspective carries a new and refreshing point of view about the field of biostatistics. Like a fresh spring breeze blowing through a room closed off all winter, inhaling its new, warm currents can be dizzying. Allowing scientists to focus on the hypothesis that they believe (rather than being forced to disprove what they donít believe) is a powerful attractor. Incorporating relevant prior information about the parameter of interest adds to the appeal. In fact, the common reaction of both physician-researchers and uninitiated biostatisticians to the Bayes approach is a sense of relief. Here, at last, is a collection of processes that fits their intuition and appreciation of the scientific method.

However, great hazard commonly accompanies great benefit; we must carefully examine the pitfalls of this alternative philosophy before falling into its embrace. The Bayes thought process is order shattering, overturning a paradigm that successfully dominated biostatistics throughout the twentieth century ó that researchers in health care must separate belief from knowledge. This philosophical challenge to the frequentistsí entrenched belief-set must be critically examined before abandoning ourselves to Bayes procedures in biology and medicine. 

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